Friday, May 06, 2005

Doing the math

Sure it's just the first week of May, but as Yogi Berra once said, "It gets late early." Such might be the case for the Yankees. At least we haters of pinstripes hope so.

After losing 3 of 4 to Tampa Bay, a team the Yanks have traditionally treated like a rented mule, NY is 11-18 and 8 GB first-place Baltimore. (You have to love the NY Daily News' headline of "Torreble" and the Post's "Stinko De Mayo.")

I know it's dangerous to predict doom for this team, but remember, if you count their collapse in the playoffs, the Yanks are 11-22 over their last 33 games.

Now, for the Yankees to reach 95 wins, which hopefully is what it will take for them to reach the postseason, they will have to go 84-49 the rest of the way. That's .632 ball for a team that right now is playing at .379, which is fourth worst in the majors. This might not be as easy as it sounds. Over the last 40 years, NY has played better than .632 for a season just three times. To reach 90 wins, the Yanks have to play .594 ball.

Right now, there is no indication this aging lineup and staff can turn it around like that. The last time NY was 7 games under .500 was 1995 when it won 79 games and reached the playoffs as the wild card before losing to Seattle.

1 comment:

Stanley said...

According to the gurus on "Baseball Tonight", the Yankees, having won 2 in a row, are back on track to win it all.