Thursday, September 13, 2007

Doing the math

It would seem the playoff hopes for the Tigers have all but faded. Detroit has 15 games remaining and would need to win 12 to reach 92 wins, which is what I thought (probably erroneously) would be necessary to win the Central.

Detroit is 5 behind NYY in the loss column for the wild card. Even if the Tigs went 10-5 down the stretch, the Yanks could go 8-9 and hold on. NY has 6 games remaining with the O’s, so that means going 2-9 or 3-8 vs. all others. At this point, you’re more likely to see Britney in undies than an O’s win.

The Tigers need to win 2 of 3 at Minnesota and sweep in Cleveland in their next 6 games to have any chance at anything. Cleveland ends the season with KC; maybe the Royals can do to the Tribe what they did to Detroit last season. Cleveland’s magic number is 11. The Indians could go 8-8 in their final 16 and hit 93 wins.

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