Monday, October 09, 2006

Rotation set

The Tigers will use the same Robertson-Verlander-Rogers-Bonderman rotation vs. Oakland. Some speculated it might change, but why fix it if it ain't broken? Robertson has already endured what will quite possibly be the toughest starting assignment of his life, Game 1 in Yankee Stadium.

This way, the first time through, Robertson pitches on 6 days rest, Verlander on 5, Rogers on 6 and Bonderman on 6.

Of course, they could skip Robertson, which then puts everyone else on a more “normal” schedule. However, if by chance the Tigers are down 1-2 heading into Saturday (which would simply mean everyone holds serve, so to speak), then it would fall to Robertson on 10 days rest.

I’m not sure how Robertson pitches on extended rest, but the chance of a rusty Robertson taking the mound in such a pivotal game isn’t appealing. The other option would be to skip him again (and show no confidence in him at all for the ALCS) and send out Verlander on 3 days rest. Verlander, I think we’ve seen, is better on regular to longer rest at this point.

So it comes down to this: If it’s 1-2 heading into Saturday, do you want Bonderman on 6 days rest or a very well rested Robertson or short rested Verlander? I want Bonderman.

Then, depending on the situation, you can continue with the rotation or start bumping up guys on 3 days rest. I think this is more sensible. And if Robertson and/or Verlander win one or both of those first two games in Oakland, then you’ve really got options.

Hopefully, all this is rendered moot by the Tigers just continuing to roll.

1 comment:

Stanley said...

I think this rotation is smart/clever/whatever.....

I'm not sure who to tag as the Tiger's staff ace - Verlander, Rogers or perhaps Bonderman - but I don't give Robertson any consideration for that status.

What Robertson does have is a clear shot at beating Zito (or anyone else for that matter), whom I would tag as Oakland's ace.

I think Leyland using this rotation concedes the pitching matchup edge to Oakland in Game 1, but arguably Detroit has it for Games 2,3 and 4. And since the edge is probably going to be small in any of these games, getting a small edge in 3 of 4 could be all the difference.