Friday, May 30, 2008

Unlucky?

Sparky's trying to pinpoint the troubles with the Tigers offense. Here are some stats versus the AL averages.

RISP AL: .267/.354/.408 for .763 OPS
RISP Tigs: .259/.339/.397 for .736 OPS

BABIP for above AL: .296
BABIP for above Tigs: .284

Runner on 3rd less than 2 out AL: .338/.381/.507 for .888 OPS
Runner on 3rd less than 2 out Tigs: .387/.407/.645 for 1.052 OPS

BABIP for above AL: .322
BABIP for above Tigs: .364

Runner on 3rd with 2 outs AL: .223/.336/.343 for .680 OPS
Runner on 3rd with 2 outs Tigs: .207/.324/.261 for .585 OPS

BABIP for above AL: .262
BABIP for above Tigs: .257

RISP with 2 outs AL: .240/.345/.362 for .707 OPS
RISP with 2 outs Tigs: .226/.329/.317 for .646 OPS

BABIP for above AL: .285
BABIP for above Tigs: .270

With runners on 2nd and 3rd, the AL OPS is .824 and BABIP is .314
With runners on 2nd and 3rd, the Tigs OPS is .680 and BABIP is .273

The AL has a 1.711 OPS with a 3-0 count. The Tigs have a .979 OPS on a 3-0 count.
After a 3-0 count, the AL has a 1.209 OPS. The Tigs have a 1.233 OPS. The AL BABIP after a 3-0 count is .280. The Tigs is .214.

The AL overall BABIP is .292. The Tigs is .291.

Leading off an inning, the AL OPS is .702 with BABIP of .287.
Leading off an inning, the Tigs OPS is .732 with BABIP of .270.

The No. 3 batter in the AL lineups has a .774 OPS with BABIP of .299.
The No. 3 batter for the Tigs has a .660 OPS with BABIP of .242.

Those are a lot of numbers, but it's clear the Tigers are underperforming against the AL average in a number of what I would view as key categories.

It also is interesting that while the Tigers overall BABIP is practically at the AL average, their BABIP in the key categories is almost always lower. This might indicate the Tigers have been the victims of some bad luck during the early part of this year.

I thought perhaps the Tigers were hitting into more DPs than the AL with RISP, but both came in at 3% of RISP plate appearances and around 3.5% of RISP at-bats. However, the Tigs are GIDP 9.3% of at-bats with a runner on 1st while the AL average is 8.5%. With runners on 1st and 2nd, the Tigs GIDP is 9.5% while the AL average is 7.3%. The Tigs overall GIDP is 6% while the AL average is 5.7%.

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